Forecasted Win Probability

David Crowley

Tom Tiffany
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 48% fundamentals, 27% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Wisconsin Governor were being held today, who would voters choose?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
– | |||
– | |||
| Crowley | |||