Forecasted Win Probability
Marsha Blackburn
Jerri Green
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 100% fundamentals. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Marsha Blackburn | 42.00% |
| Jerri Green | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 13.00% |
| David Hatley | 7.00% |
| Lauren Pinkston | 2.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Marsha Blackburn | 55.00% |
| Jerri Green | 34.00% |
| Generic Independent | 7.00% |
| Other Option | 4.00% |
