Forecasted Win Probability
Helena Foulkes
Aaron Guckian
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 88% fundamentals and 12% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Helena Foulkes | 44.00% |
| Ken Block | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 11.00% |
| Aaron Guckian | 10.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Helena Foulkes | 41.00% |
| Ken Block | 24.00% |
| Aaron Guckian | 19.00% |
| Other Option | 16.10% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Helena Foulkes | 44.00% |
| Ken Block | 25.00% |
| Aaron Guckian | 17.00% |
| Other Option | 12.00% |
| Christopher Reynolds | 2.00% |
| Jasjit Gotra | 0.00% |
