Ben Ray Lujan*
Larry Marker
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 66% fundamentals, 9% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Ben Ray Lujan | 56.00% |
| Larry Marker | 37.00% |
| Other Option | 7.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Ben Ray Lujan | 53.00% |
| Larry Marker | 37.00% |
| Other Option | 10.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Ben Ray Lujan | 54.00% |
| Larry Marker | 36.00% |
| Other Option | 10.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Larry Marker | $99,230 | $90,122 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Ben Ray Lujan | $9,111,371 | $6,347,418 | -$1,108 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
