Forecasted Win Probability
Deb Haaland
Greggory Hull
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 88% fundamentals and 12% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Deb Haaland | 49.00% |
| Greggory Hull | 42.00% |
| Other Option | 9.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Deb Haaland | 47.00% |
| Greggory Hull | 41.00% |
| Other Option | 12.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Deb Haaland | 49.00% |
| Greggory Hull | 43.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
