Forecasted Win Probability
Joe Lombardo*
Aaron Ford
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 48% fundamentals, 31% polls, and 21% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Nevada Governor were being held today, who would voters choose?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
 | – | ||
 | – | ||
| Lombardo | |||
 | |||
