Forecasted Win Probability
Maura Healey*
Mike Minogue
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 68% fundamentals, 7% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maura Healey | 54.00% |
| Mike Minogue | 38.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maura Healey | 55.00% |
| Brian Shortsleeve | 28.00% |
| Other Option | 17.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Maura Healey | 51.00% |
| Brian Shortsleeve | 32.00% |
| Other Option | 17.00% |
