Julia Letlow
Jamie Davis
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 66% fundamentals, 9% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Julia Letlow | 47.00% |
| Jamie Davis | 47.00% |
| Other Option | 6.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Jamie Davis | 45.00% |
| Julia Letlow | 45.00% |
| Other Option | 10.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Julia Letlow | 48.00% |
| Jamie Davis | 44.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jamie Davis | $5,019,888 | $3,764,960 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Julia Letlow | $7,062,069 | $6,618,899 | $11,557,659 | $10,861,766 | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
