Forecasted Win Probability
Ned Lamont*
Ryan Fazio
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 67% fundamentals and 33% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the race for Connecticut Governor were being held today, who would voters choose?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
 | |||
 | |||
| Lamont | |||
 | |||
