John Hickenlooper*
Mark Baisley
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 66% fundamentals, 9% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| John Hickenlooper | 57.00% |
| Mark Baisley | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| John Hickenlooper | 57.00% |
| Mark Baisley | 37.00% |
| Other Option | 6.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| John Hickenlooper | 57.00% |
| Mark Baisley | 39.00% |
| Other Option | 4.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mark Baisley | $110,001 | $83,721 | - | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 John Hickenlooper | $11,695,273 | $11,778,528 | $524,523 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
