Forecasted Win Probability
Sarah Huckabee Sanders*
Fred Love
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 100% fundamentals. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 45.00% |
| Fred Love | 40.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
| Colt Shelby | 7.00% |
