Forecasted Win Probability
Katie Hobbs*
Andy Biggs
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 34% fundamentals, 50% polls, and 16% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Arizona Governor were being held today, who would voters choose?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
 | – | ||
 | – | ||
| Hobbs | |||
 | |||
