Forecasted Win Probability
Tommy Tuberville
Doug Jones
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 94% fundamentals and 6% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Tommy Tuberville | 50.00% |
| Doug Jones | 37.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Tommy Tuberville | 49.00% |
| Doug Jones | 41.00% |
| Other Option | 11.00% |
