Forecasted Win Probability
Ben Cline*
Beth Macy
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Ben Cline | 59.00% |
| Beth Macy | 29.00% |
| Other Option | 12.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ben Cline | $1,441,436 | $1,058,317 | $6,816 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/15/2026 |
 Beth Macy | $1,686,322 | $838,852 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 7/15/2026 |
