Forecasted Win Probability
Stefany Shaheen
Anthony DiLorenzo
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 73% fundamentals, 2% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Stefany Shaheen | 46.00% |
| Anthony DiLorenzo | 42.00% |
| Other Option | 11.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anthony DiLorenzo | $2,500,778 | $2,311,692 | - | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 8/19/2026 |
 Stefany Shaheen | $2,432,372 | $1,828,170 | $2,246,483 | - | PRE-PRIMARY | 8/19/2026 |
