Forecasted Win Probability
Jocelyn Benson
John James
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 34% fundamentals, 51% polls, and 15% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Michigan Governor were being held today, who would voters choose?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
 | – | ||
 | – | ||
| Benson | |||
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