Forecasted Win Probability
Andy Barr
Charles Booker
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Andy Barr | 49.00% |
| Charles Booker | 40.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Daniel Cameron | 46.00% |
| Charles Booker | 39.00% |
| Other Option | 14.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Charles Booker | $1,714,261 | $1,370,336 | $28,428 | - | OCTOBER QUARTERLY | 9/30/2026 |
 Andy Barr | $20,864,903 | $18,489,855 | $6,980,575 | $8,317,508 | OCTOBER QUARTERLY | 9/30/2026 |
