Forecasted Win Probability
Ashley Moody*
Angie Nixon
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 34% fundamentals, 41% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Florida US Senate were being held today, who would voters choose?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
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| Moody | |||
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