Forecasted Win Probability
Lauren Boebert*
Eileen Laubacher
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 75% fundamentals and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Lauren Boebert | 45.00% |
| Eileen Laubacher | 40.00% |
| Douglas Mangeris | 9.00% |
| Other Option | 6.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Boebert | $1,010,297 | $922,240 | $5,984 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
 Eileen Laubacher | $10,349,940 | $6,739,031 | $558 | - | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
