Forecasted Win Probability

Phil Weiser

Victor Marx
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 88% fundamentals, 3% polls, and 9% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Victor Marx | 46.00% |
| Phil Weiser | 45.00% |
| Other Option | 9.00% |