Forecasted Win Probability
Barry Moore
Everett Wess
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 70% fundamentals, 5% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Barry Moore | 54.00% |
| Everett Wess | 33.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Barry Moore | 47.00% |
| Everett Wess | 32.00% |
| Other Option | 21.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Barry Moore | 43.00% |
| Jared Hudson | 35.00% |
| Other Option | 22.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Everett Wess | $116,887 | $105,627 | - | - | OCTOBER QUARTERLY | 9/30/2026 |
 Barry Moore | $5,806,877 | $5,531,282 | $16,467,604 | $3,019 | OCTOBER QUARTERLY | 9/30/2026 |
