Rhett Marques
Shomari Figures*
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 66% fundamentals, 9% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Rhett Marques | 48.00% |
| Shomari Figures | 46.00% |
| Other Option | 6.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Shomari Figures | 47.00% |
| Rhett Marques | 47.00% |
| Candidate | Result |
|---|---|
| Shomari Figures | 46.00% |
| Rhett Marques | 46.00% |
| Other Option | 8.00% |
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shomari Figures | $2,706,098 | $1,531,518 | $115,235 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
 Rhett Marques | $1,716,374 | $1,538,317 | $2,912,248 | - | PRE-GENERAL | 10/14/2026 |
