Forecasted Win Probability
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John James*
Carl Marlinga
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 41% fundamentals and 59% polls. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
How popular is John James among Michiganders?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
 | |||
| |||
| Unfavorable | |||
Unfavorable |   | ||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Marlinga | $2,954,055 | $2,925,342 | $2,895,495 | $4,898,346 | YEAR-END | 12/31/2024 |
