Forecasted Win Probability
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Ashley Hinson*
Sarah Corkery
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 100% fundamentals. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
How popular is Ashley Hinson among Iowans?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
 | |||
| |||
| Unfavorable | |||
Unfavorable |   | ||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Albertson-Corkery | $510,626 | $501,481 | - | - | YEAR-END | 12/31/2024 |
