Forecasted Win Probability
Pete Ricketts*
Dan Osborn
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 41% fundamentals, 34% polls, and 25% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Nebraska US Senate were being held today, who would voters choose?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
 | – | ||
 | – | ||
| Ricketts | |||
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How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Osborn | $20,884,778 | $18,460,021 | $1,746 | $110,000 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
| Pete Ricketts | $17,109,735 | $10,198,447 | $783,915 | $431 | JULY QUARTERLY | 6/30/2026 |
