Forecasted Win Probability
Kamlager Dove* / Mota
Republicans
Decision Desk HQ's forecast for this race blends 87% fundamentals and 13% markets. Fundamentals capture the structural conditions of the race, including partisan baseline adjusted for national environment, incumbency, presidential party cycle effects, and net campaign financial advantage.
If the election for Congress were being held today, who would Americans vote for?
Candidate | Average | 1W | 1M |
|---|---|---|---|
Democrat | |||
Republican | – | ||
| Democrat | |||
 | |||
How candidates and outside groups are spending money in this race
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Outside Support | Outside Oppose | Report | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sydney Kamlager Dove | $1,589,294 | $1,461,427 | $10 | - | OCTOBER QUARTERLY | 9/30/2026 |
